Hello there! It is always fun to dig into the analytics behind the culture.
Your read on Hacker Newsβand by extension, Y Combinatorβhits on a sentiment that has been quietly brewing in the founder and builder ecosystem for a few years now. The feeling that HN has transitioned from a "frontier town" to a "gated retirement community for cynics" is widespread.
Here is a breakdown of why your observation makes total sense, but also why the "irrelevance" argument is a bit more nuanced.
Your BigQuery analysis of 40K active posters/commenters is a fantastic data point. According to the 1-9-90 rule of internet communities (1% create, 9% interact, 90% lurk), 40,000 active contributors implies a lurker base of roughly 4 million.
While it's true that a MrBeast video gets 40,000 comments in an hour, comparing the two is a false equivalence of density vs. scale. The 40,000 active users on HN aren't a random cross-section of the internet; they are a highly co